Archive: technology

Outlook 2011 Video

Here is our new video summarizing my Outlook 2011. I wrote the outlook at the beginning of the year and we posted the original on January 3. The written version with more detail, links to resources and a recap of how accurate our Outlook 2010 was can be found in our blog archives. After multiple requests we have decided to produce this video version, as we have done the last several years. Enjoy!

Glen Hiemstra is a futurist speaker, author, consultant, blogger, internet video host and Founder of Futurist.com. To arrange for a speech contact Futurist.com.

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January 3rd, 2011 | By Brenda Cooper | Posted in Business & Economy, Environment & Energy, Science & Technology, Society & Culture | 1 Comment

Striking a Balance: The Yin and Yang of Futuring

This is a guest blog by Brenda Cooper.

As long as I’ve been alive, humanity has obsessed over its demise – at its own hands. In second grade, stern teachers sent me crawling under desks to avoid nuclear war (talk about a culture of fear – today has nothing on the sixties). Now we are convinced that climate change will do us all in. Both, by the way, remain real threats. It’s important to guard against evil. Think of that as the yang of futuring, whether done over the dinner table, around the water cooler, or from the dais. But I think we’re missing the yin: we’re failing to notice the good all around us.

Back in the crawling under desks part of my life, people who lived in other countries were unreachable to me, and had I wanted to talk to one, it would have cost a lot of money. Today, I have a phone that’s also a camera and a link to a world of information and entertainment – and to people all over the globe. There’s a good chance I can avoid or find a cure for most diseases that could directly affect me. We’re finally developing a real space industry (sorry – I’m a geek – but whatever it is you love, there is almost undoubtedly progress).

Take the climate change problem. It feels intractable. Old entrenched industries are fighting tooth and nail to hang on to things we KNOW are bad for us (remember the tobacco industry). But people all over the world are working on it. Wind TurbinesAmerican car companies are coming out with good electric cars, China is building green cities, and here at home, in the city where I work, we have a green building program and a green business program. For all that it feels too slow (may be too slow), we’re changing fast on this one as a society. When I drive from here to Oregon, I go through a forest of futuristic new white windmills. I think in almost every pain point where technology changes make a difference (travel, carbon, medicine, communication) we’re changing faster than ever before, and our intent is good. We are a capable species.

Yet I hear more fear of the future than excitement, more worry about what we’re doing than celebration of it. We could do with a little balance. I am not suggesting we relax our vigilance about climate change or terrorism or even nuclear war. But we could pay attention to the good as well. I hope we all work on that for 2011.

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December 1st, 2010 | By Catherine Otten | Posted in Business & Economy, Science & Technology | Comments Off

Moving Data at Light Speed in the Near Future

Top Innovators
In this month’s issue of Seattle Business magazine the top story is about Washington’s Leading Inventors. The product that I am most looking forward to is from Lightfleet. The company is developing a new optical system that replaces all of the switches and most of the wires in a traditional computer system with light, which allows data to be transferred at, you guessed it, light speed between data nodes. With their breakthrough, throughput will only be limited by the consumer’s ability to upload and process data and not by the fabric’s ability to transmit and receive data. Lightfleet has already sold their innovative technology to Microsoft and I look forward to the changes we’ll see when its use becomes more widespread.

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November 10th, 2010 | By Catherine Otten | Posted in Business & Economy | Comments Off

Driving in 2020: Commuting Meets Computing

Driving in 2020

Driving in 2020: Commuting Meets Computing is an article that Glen wrote in the September-October 2000 issue of the The Futurist about the future of cars and technology. So far we’ve made it halfway to 2020 and his predictions don’t seem to be too far off. I think the auto industry may be a bit behind the curve, but the popularity of hybrid cars has been on the rise as Glen expected. Fuel cell technology may not be as practical as Glen predicted by now, but my best friend bought a VW Jetta that runs on biodiesel a couple of years ago and still loves it.

Technology has been keeping up with Glen’s predictions better than the auto industry. My dad doesn’t like to drive anywhere without turning on his in-dash GPS system, even if he knows where he’s going. And I see TV screens in backseats all over the place (they only scare me when I see them in front of the driver too!). Many cars already include backup sensors that can sound an alarm or show you exactly what is behind your car. I don’t know if it’s possible yet to show the full 3-D view around your car that Glen talked about, but if not, we are certainly not far off.

Advertisers have a ways to go before they can show virtual displays on your windshield like in Glen’s story, but you know if you’ve used Google or Amazon recently that they can track what you’ve been looking at and advertise accordingly. As far as the sensors instead of toll booths on the highways that Glen talked about, many cities are there already and Seattle will be joining them shortly.

Personally, I prefer to take public transportation whenever I can. It was much easier in Boston than in Seattle, but I still try to make it a priority to track down a bus on the King County Metro site to get me where I need to go. Although if cars really do become as environmentally friendly as Glen expects, I will likely drive more often, or at least drive with a less guilty conscience.

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November 1st, 2010 | By Catherine Otten | Posted in Business & Economy, Current Choices for a Better Future, Environment & Energy, Science & Technology, Society & Culture | Comments Off

10 Big Green Ideas

(With this blog entry we welcome Catherine Otten back to Futurist.com, where she is now Director of Communications and Programs. Catherine is particularly committed to ideas that improve the environment, so in addition to her administrative duties we look forward to future blog entries like this.)

10 Big Green Ideas

Newsweek recently ran an article (in their Oct. 25 issue) called 10 Big Green Ideas. They truly are big ideas that show the many different routes to the future of sustainability. As Margaret Mead once said, “Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world.” This list is a quick look at some of the amazing ideas coming from some of those thoughtful citizens.

1. Make a Greener Burger – Blairo Maggi has recently started promoting “sustainable development,” “carbon credits,” “avoided deforestation” – and green beef. He has signed moratoriums on selling beef from recently deforested lands and has been urging local ranchers and meatpackers to clean up their acts.

2. Invest in the Improbable – Vinod Khosla, Sun Microsystems cofounder, is betting on green-tech startups. “I like technologies that have a 90 percent chance of failure,” he says, “because a 10 percent chance of making 100 times your money is better than an 80 percent chance of doubling your money.”

3. Get Out of the Gulf – Jackie Savitz, a political party analyst with the ocean-advocacy group Oceana, sees a fairly simple way to get out the gulf completely. All we have to do is electrify 10 percent of America’s cars by 2020, switch oil-based power plants to clean electric ones, update one quarter of oil-heated homes to electric power, and phase in all available non-feedstock biofuels.

4. Catch a Wave – In March, 10 energy firms were allowed to set up off the coast of Scotland and pilot plants have also been set up in Portugal, Indonesia, Taiwan, and the Northeastern United States.

5. Hug a Nuke – Traditionally, nuclear power plants use enriched uranium to generate power. Enrichment itself is inefficient and up to 92 percent of uranium is cast aside as “depleted uranium”. TerraPower has come up with a plan to run an entire plant with depleted uranium.

6. Turn Smoke Into Rocks – Calera has developed a process that takes CO2 from a power-plant smokestack and turns it into cement.

7. Drink Your Garbage – Singapore installed a system two years ago that turns sewage into drinking water and now WaterCAMPWS is working on doing it in the U.S.

8. Hire a Microbe – In Minneapolis, BioCee is working on microbes that soak up sunlight and carbon dioxide and convert it into a substitute for petroleum. Stanford discovered a bug that uses sunlight to split water into hydrogen and oxygen. In California, Amyris created genetically modified yeast that produces something like gasoline.

9. Shout it Out Loud – A tiny NGO in Beijing, the Institute of Public and Environmental Affairs, collects government data about local suppliers that are violating environmental standards and finds out which international companies the violators are connected with. They then work with foreign non-profits to pressure the big international companies to clean up their act.

10. Lighten Up – LED bulbs may cost more, but they can save a fortune on your electric bill. LED Savings and Solutions helps companies retrofit their buildings to reduce energy and save thousands each month.

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