Archive: futurist.com

June 5th, 2012 | By Glen Hiemstra | Posted in Society & Culture, Uncategorized | Comments Off

The social conquest of earth

This week I began a new book, The Social Conquest of Earth, by E.O. Wilson. Not surprisingly I find it quite mind expanding, marking up nearly every page, as few writers get to the essence of things like Mr. Wilson. His question in this book is, where did humanity come from, what are we, and where are we going? This is not unlike the question that I use in Futurist.com vision work with enterprises – where have you come from, where do you want to go and why do you want to go there?

To whet your appetite for this book, here are two money quotes from just the first couple of sections…

Humanity today is like a waking dreamer, caught between the fantasies of sleep and the chaos of the real world. The mind seeks but cannot find the precise place and hour. We have created a Star Wars civilization, with Stone Age emotions, medieval institutions, and godlike technology. We thrash about. We are terribly confused by the mere fact of our existence, and a danger to ourselves and to the rest of life.

and

I will propose that scientific advances, especially those made during the last two decades, are now sufficient for us to address in a coherent manner the questions of where we came from and what we are. To do so, however, we need answers to two even more fundamental questions the query has raised. The first is why advanced social life exists at all, and has occurred so rarely in the history of life. The second is the identity of the driving forces that brought it into being.

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June 3rd, 2012 | By Glen Hiemstra | Posted in Environment & Energy | Comments Off

New energy future is possible

At the annual Future In Review conference, one of the most interesting presentations was that by Amory Lovins of the Rocky Mountain Institute, reviewing their future of energy study that was chronicled in their report and book, Reinventing Fire. In brief, Amory explained in his dispassionate, engineering style, that it is possible to grow the U.S. economy by 158% by 2050, while completely phasing out the use of oil, coal and nuclear power, keeping the amount of natural gas we use steady, and relying instead on renewable energy and distributed grids using no newly invented technology. This could be done at a savings, according to the RMI study, of $5 Trillion. Below is an infographic created by RMI that sums up their scenario for how such a future will be created. The question is, is this a possible or a probable future?

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May 11th, 2012 | By Glen Hiemstra | Posted in Current Choices for a Better Future, Environment & Energy, Society & Culture | Comments Off

Our Past, Our Future: Welcome to the Anthropocene

A colleague at the Association of Professional Futurists just shared his discovery of a most impressive and interesting website, in beta right now, Welcome to the Anthropocene. The site is “designed to improve our understanding of the earth system.

The home page features a really excellent short film, “Welcome to the Anthropocene.” It is a 3-minute journey through the last 250 years of our history, from the start of the Industrial Revolution to the Rio+20 Summit. The film charts the growth of humanity into a global force on an equivalent scale to major geological processes.

The film was commissioned by the Planet Under Pressure conference, London 26-29 March, 2012, a major international conference focusing on solutions.

Really great video – enjoy, learn.




ht to Lloyd Walker, Precurve.com

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May 7th, 2012 | By Glen Hiemstra | Posted in Business & Economy, Society & Culture | Comments Off

Cities hold key to economic future

Among the greatest global population trends is the continued migration of people to cities and their associated metro areas. One estimate has it that by 2050 some 90 percent of global population will live in cities or within an hour of them. Another estimate suggests that today 80 percent of U.S. residents live in cities (bear in mind these numbers often call a town of 20,000 a city) while globally some 51 percent now live in urban areas. The World Health Organization estimates that by 2050 70 percent of the world population or 6.5 billion people will live in urban areas.

Of course, this raises enormous challenges in preparing cities for the infrastructure needed. Shall we build dense cities? Mostly. But is there room for a suburban style within the future metro area?

This greatest ever population migration to cities is also both cause and effect of something else, the fact that more than ever before cities have become the engines of economic growth and prosperity. Living, lively cities hold the key to our economic future.

A recent McKinsey report highlights the way in which cities are economic drivers, noting that U.S. cities, defined in this case as those with 150,000 in population or more, generate 85 percent of the nation’s GDP. In the next 15 years, estimates Kinsey, the 259 largest U.S. cities will contribute more than 10 percent of global GDP growth. If you lead a city, the question is what do you need to know to position you city for this kind of leadership.

Glen Hiemstra is a futurist, author, speaker, consultant, Founder of Futurist.com, and founder and Curator of DoTheFuture.com. To arrange for a speech, workshop or consultation contact Futurist.com.

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